Maldives National Journal of Research

The Maldives National Journal of Research (MNJR) is a research journal of the Maldives National University published by the Postgraduate Research Centre. MNJR is a multidisciplinary journal of research in all disciplines relevant to the Maldives. Although in the coming years, it is expected that this journal will evolve into specialist journals in various disciplines, the first one is generalist in nature. The journal publishes research articles, literature reviews, book reviews, comments, opinion and perspectives.

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Subject: search.filters.subject.Epidemic progression

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    Nowcasting the COVID 19 epidemic in the Maldives
    (The Research Centre, Maldives National University, 2020-08) Moosa, Sheena; Usman, Sofoora Kawsar
    The novelty of COVID‑19 prompted reliance on mathematical modelling to guide decision making and planning pandemic response. The compartment model using suspected, infected recovered and death (SIRD) as used in the Maldives to forecast the epidemic which was nowcasted (adjusted in real-time) to produce parameters on epidemic progression in the Male’ area to allow for quick decision making. Deriving the model input parameters were challenging and introduced a greater level of uncertainty in model output parameters. Recognition of the data limitation in presenting model outputs allowed for quick decision making in the COVID‑19 early phase towards control of the epidemic.
Those using material that appeared in MNJR for noncommercial use are welcome to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt the work — at no cost and without permission — as long as they attribute the work to the original source. Those who wish to use material appearing in MNJR for commercial use must obtain written permission from MNJR.